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Assembling board read
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10 contracts across kalshi + polymarket
Match quality
Related boards
Same underlying event, different deadline. Compare carefully.
Same underlying event, different deadline. Compare carefully.
Same underlying event, different deadline. Compare carefully.
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Timeline
Fresh board data landed around Mar 25 11:50 AM.
Venue leaders currently disagree by 76%.
NervousAI is leaning lower than the board by 4%.
The top contract is close enough to the runner-up that a quick branch flip is plausible.
The earliest contract closes on Jul 29, 2026 12:00 AM.
Market
Fed maintains rate
Updated N/A
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Updated Mar 25, 11:50 AM UTC
Contracts
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| Contract | Venue | Fair | Bid | Ask | Spread | 24h volume | Liquidity | Close | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Fed Decision in July? | polymarket | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% | $430.3K | $47.2K | Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? Fed Decision in July? | polymarket | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | $5.6K | $74.6K | Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? Fed Decision in July? | polymarket | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | $2.1K | $73.4K | Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Fed Decision in July? | polymarket | 77% | 76% | 77% | 1% | $1.3K | $26.6K | Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Fed Decision in July? | polymarket | 16% | 15% | 16% | 1% | $733 | $50.8K | Jul 29, 12:00 AM UTC |
| Fed maintains rate Fed decision in Jul 2026? | kalshi | 77% | 76% | 78% | 2% | $274 | $0 | Jul 29, 5:59 PM UTC |
| Cut 25bps Fed decision in Jul 2026? | kalshi | 14% | 13% | 16% | 3% | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 5:59 PM UTC |
| Hike 25bps Fed decision in Jul 2026? | kalshi | 4% | 3% | 4% | 1% | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 5:59 PM UTC |
| Cut >25bps Fed decision in Jul 2026? | kalshi | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 5:59 PM UTC |
| Hike >25bps Fed decision in Jul 2026? | kalshi | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 5:59 PM UTC |